Extreme conditional value at risk a coherent scenario for risk management The WritePass Journal

Outrageous restrictive incentive in danger a sound situation for chance administration Part ONE Outrageous contingent incentive in danger a cognizant situation for hazard the board Part ONE1. INTRODUCTION1.1.BACKGROUND1.2 RSEARCH PROBLEM1.3 RELEVENCE OF THE STUDY1.4 RESEARCH DESIGNCHAPTER 2: RISK MEASUREMENT AND THE EMPIRICALDISTRIBUTION OF FINANCIAL RETURNS2.1 Risk Measurement in Finance: A Review of Its Origins2.2â Value in danger (VaR)2.2.1 Definition and concepts2.2.2 Limitations of VaR2.3 Conditional Value-at-Risk2.4â The Empirical Distribution of Financial Returns2.4.1â The Importance of Being Normal2.4.2 Deviations From NormalityCHAPTER 3: EXTREME VALUE THEORY: A SUITABLE AND ADEQUATE FRAMEWORK?1.3. Extraordinary Value Theory3.1. The Block of Maxima Method3.2.â â The Generalized Extreme Value Distribution3.2.1. Outrageous Value-at-Risk3.2.2.â Extreme Conditional Value-at-Risk (ECVaR): An Extreme Coherent Measure of RiskCHAPTER 4: DATA DISCRIPTION.CHAPTER 5: DISCUSION OF EMPIRICAL RESULTSCHAPTER 6: CONCLUSIONS References Related Part ONE 1. Presentation Outrageous monetary misfortunes that happened during the 2007-2008 money related emergency reignited inquiries of in the case of existing approachs, which are generally founded on the typical appropriation, are sufficient and reasonable with the end goal of hazard estimation and the executives. The significant suspicions utilized in these systems are that monetary returns are autonomously and indistinguishably dispersed, and follow the typical circulation. Be that as it may, shortcomings in these techniques has for quite some time been distinguished in the writing. Right off the bat, it is presently generally acknowledged that money related returns are not regularly dispersed; they are awry, slanted, leptokurtic and fat-followed. Furthermore, money related returns show unpredictability grouping, along these lines the presumption of freely appropriated is abused. The consolidated proof concerning the adapted realities of budgetary returns requires the requirement for adjusting existing techniques or growing new strategies that will represent all the stylised realities of money related returns unequivocally. In this paper, I talk about two related proportions of hazard; extraordinary worth in danger (EVaR) and outrageous restrictive worth in danger (ECVaR). I contend that ECVaR is a superior proportion of extraordinary market hazard than EVaR used by Kabundi and Mwamba (2009) since it is rational, and catches the impacts of outrageous markets occasions. Interestingly, despite the fact that EVaR catches the impact of outrageous market occasions, it is non-intelligible. 1.1.BACKGROUND Markowitz (1952), Roy (1952), Shape (1964), Black and Scholes (1973), and Merton’s (1973) significant toolbox in the improvement of present day portfolio hypothesis (MPT) and the field of money related designing comprised of means, change, connections and covariance of benefit returns. In MPT, the change or comparably the standard deviation was the panacea proportion of hazard. A significant supposition utilized in this hypothesis is that money related resource returns are regularly dispersed. Under this presumption, extraordinary market occasions once in a while occur. At the point when they do happen, chance directors can just regard them as anomalies and dismissal them when demonstrating money related resource returns. The suspicion of regularly dispersed resource returns is excessively oversimplified for use in money related displaying of extraordinary market occasions. During extraordinary market movement like the 2007-2008 monetary emergency, budgetary returns show conduct that is past what the ordinary dissemination can display. Beginning with crafted by Mandelbrot (1963) there is progressively additionally persuading observational proof that recommend that benefit returns are not ordinarily circulated. They show uneven conduct, ‘fat tails’ and high kurtosis than the typical dispersion can oblige. The suggestion is that extraordinary negative returns do happen, and are more regular than anticipated by the ordinary conveyance. In this manner, proportions of hazard dependent on the ordinary dissemination will disparage the danger of portfolios and lead to gigantic budgetary misfortunes, and conceivably bankruptcies of money related foundations. To alleviate the impacts of insufficient hazard capital supports originating from underestimation of hazard by ordinariness based money related demonstrating, chance estimates, for example, EVaR that go past the supposition of typically appropriated returns have been created. Notwithstanding, EVaR is non-intelligible simply like VaR from which it is created . The suggestion is that, despite the fact that it catches the impacts of outrageous market occasions, it's anything but a decent proportion of hazard since it doesn't reflect enhancement †a logical inconsistency to one of the foundation of portfolio hypothesis. ECVaR normally conquers these issues since it reasonable and can catch extraordinary market occasions. 1.2â RSEARCH PROBLEM The reason for this paper is to create extraordinary restrictive worth in danger (ECVaR), and propose it as a superior proportion of hazard than EVaR under states of outrageous market action with monetary returns that display unpredictability bunching, and are not typically conveyed. Kabundi and Mwamba (2009) have proposed EVaR as a superior proportion of extraordinary hazard than the generally utilized VaR, be that as it may, it is non-rational. ECVaR is cognizant, and catches the impact of extraordinary market action, along these lines it is progressively fit to display outrageous misfortunes during market disturbance, and reflects expansion, which is a significant necessity for any hazard measure in portfolio hypothesis. 1.3â RELEVENCE OF THE STUDY The suspicion that money related resource returns are ordinarily circulated downplays the chance of inconsistent extraordinary occasions whose effect is more hindering than that of occasions that are progressively visit. Utilization of VaR and CVaR think little of the danger of advantages and portfolios, and in the long run lead to immense misfortunes and liquidations during times of extraordinary market action. There are numerous antagonistic impacts of utilizing the typical appropriation in the estimation of budgetary hazard, the most noticeable being the loss of cash due to thinking little of hazard. During the worldwide monetary emergency, various banks and non-money related foundations endured colossal budgetary misfortunes; some failed and fizzled, halfway due to insufficient capital portion coming from underestimation of hazard by models that accepted ordinarily conveyed returns. Proportions of hazard that don't accept ordinariness of budgetary returns have been created. One such measure is EVaR (Kabundi and Mwamba (2009)). EVaR catches the impact of extraordinary market occasions, anyway it isn't lucid. Therefore, EVaR is anything but a decent proportion of hazard since it doesn't reflect broadening. In money related markets portrayed by different wellsprings of hazard and outrageous market instability, it is critical to have a hazard measure that is reasonable and can catch the impact of extraordinary market movement. ECVaR is upheld to satisfies this job of guaranteeing extraordinary market hazard while adjusting to portfolio theory’s shrewdness of broadening. 1.4â RESEARCH DESIGN Section 2 will introduce a writing survey of hazard estimation strategies presently utilized by budgetary foundations, specifically, VaR and CVaR. I additionally talk about the qualities and shortcomings of these measures. Another hazard measure not generally known up to this point is the EVaR. We talk about EVaR as a headway in hazard estimation systems. I advocate that EVaR is definitely not a decent proportion of hazard since it is non-rational. This prompts the following section, which presents ECVaR as a superior hazard measure that is sound and can catch extraordinary market occasions. Section 3 will be worried about extraordinary contingent worth in danger (ECVaR) as an advantageous demonstrating system that normally defeats the typicality presumption of benefit returns in the displaying of outrageous market occasions. This is followed with a relative examination of EVaR and ECVaR utilizing money related information covering both the pre-budgetary emergency and the monetary emergency time frames. Section 4 will be worried about information sources, primer information depiction, and the estimation of EVaR, and ECVaR. Section 5 will talk about the observational outcomes and the suggestion for hazard estimation. At long last, part 6 will give blackouts and feature the headings for future examination. Part 2: RISK MEASUREMENT AND THE EMPIRICAL Dispersion OF FINANCIAL RETURNS 2.1â Risk Measurement in Finance: A Review of Its Origins The idea of hazard has been known for a long time before Markowitz’s Portfolio Theory (MPT). Bernoulli (1738) unraveled the St. Petersburg Catch 22 and determined central experiences of hazard disinclined conduct and the advantages of diversification.â In his plan of anticipated utility hypothesis, Bernoulli didn't characterize chance unequivocally; in any case, he deduced it from the state of the utility capacity (Bulter et al. (2005:134); Brancinger Weber, (1997: 236)). Irving Fisher (1906) proposed the utilization of change to quantify financial hazard. Von Neumann and Morgenstern (1947) utilized anticipated utility hypothesis in the investigation of games and thusly derived a considerable lot of the cutting edge comprehension of dynamic under hazard or uncertainty.â Therefore, as opposed to prevalent thinking, the idea of hazard has been known well before MPT. Despite the fact that the idea of hazard was known before MPT, Markowitz (1952) first gave a precise calculation to gauge chance utilizing the difference in the definition of the mean-fluctuation model for which he won the Nobel Prize in 1990. The improvement of the mean-change model roused research in dynamic under hazard and the advancement of hazard measures. The investigation of hazard and dynamic under vulnerability (which is dealt with equivalent to chance much of the time) stretch across disciplines. In choice science and brain research, Coombs and Pruitt (1960), Pruitt (1962), Coombs (1964), Coombs and Meyer (1969), and Coombs and Huang (1970a, 1970b) contemplated the impression of bets and how their inclination is influenced by their apparent hazard. In financial aspects, account and mea

Philippe starck free essay sample

Philippe Starck is a very notable item and inside fashioner. He was conceived in Paris in 1949, however in the end fanned out to the United States with his inventive knowledge. He planned furnishings, vehicles, lights, and shoes right to inns, eateries, and bars while likewise helping out different acclaimed originators, for example, Alessi, Microsoft, and Virgin. As a planner, Starck doesn't just structure to follow the pattern or to profit by the colossal measure of benefit that he makes from his structures. Starck has a way of thinking that supports not just the idea of toning it down would be best and human progress, yet the craving to advance â€Å"a new connection between the maker and the customer, and among items and the shopper. † (Starck,1999). Starck distributed a book called Philippe Starck Subverchic Design in 1999. Prior to distributing this book, he astonished a significant number of his fans by proclaiming that he will quit planning subsequent to propelling his last arrangement of items called â€Å"Good Goods. We will compose a custom exposition test on Philippe starck or then again any comparable point explicitly for you Don't WasteYour Time Recruit WRITER Just 13.90/page † In this book, Starck fundamentally discusses his new â€Å"Good Goods. † They are the most recent items most as of late created by Starck. It ranges from containers, clothings, and shades to utensils, seats, electronic riggings, and vehicles. His way of thinking with this is the unadulterated integrity of individuals and the items. Great Goods are not delivered by individuals who bring in messy cash, for example, tobacco organizations or liquor makers. They are not included at all with religion so it watches out from one-sided assessments and perspectives. Rather they are made with care by individuals who are paid reasonable compensation and items sold at reasonable costs. I think this is a decent starting to advance the possibility of the connections among the maker, the customer, and the items. It gives a spotless establishment with an away from of what Starck wanted that the buyers ought to comprehend about his items and plans. Starck’s Good Goods are likewise not sold in a stores or physical shops where individuals can stroll into. This is another method of forestalling insatiable individuals needing to satisfy their craving for rich cash. On the off chance that the items are really sold in stores, they will be sold at more significant expenses to pay the lease for the stores themselves. Rather, they are sold online where individuals don't need to pay the extra and the shoppers can buy them at sensible costs. Thinking from the consumers’ perspective, Starck’s compelling method of selling his items online appears to be truly effective. It’s clear that he wouldn't like to make â€Å"dirty† benefit, however simply the benefit that he merits and doesn't go past what he merits. It is direct that he doesn't need his items to be purchased by buyers since he needs the cash, but since he needs to make others’ lives better and increasingly helpful. †With my new recommendations we put individuals first†¦it is the individuals who benefit. † This is one of the explanations that he expressed in his book that got my eyes and motivated me. Just the accomplished can consider what the purchasers need, their advantages, their spending plan, and their wants all simultaneously and make them perfect without disappointment. His endeavors show that he structures by intuition from the consumers’ viewpoint instead of his perspective. Another topic that Starck needed to advance through Good Goods is the possibility of toning it down would be best. He needed to utilize insignificant material for his items, yet discover a way that could prolong the lives of his items. This likewise empowered reusing and being monetarily compelling. Before this idea of toning it down would be ideal came into his structure, he started to relate this topic in his dietary patterns. He felt good and more joyful when he devoured little measures of food each supper as opposed to stuffing himself until he was full. At that point his propensities changed as he turned into a veggie lover. He started to devour less and less meat and before long got some distance from meat utilization completely. His musings additionally changed as he believed that eating different creatures was an indication of barbarianism. As an individual who took the idea of being edified against each other significant, Starck constrained the utilization of calfskin in his items. He didn't want to murder different creatures or lives on this planet to advance his business and structure. I think utilizing materials that don’t should be created by executing different creatures to make his structures and items is an approach to show 100% honesty. I likewise think it gives the customer a sentiment of goodness without blame while utilizing or wearing his items. I previously unearthed Philippe Starck from a second year design understudy at Virginia Tech named Mykayla Fernades. We were having a discussion about the connection between inside plan and modern structure and Mykayla acquainted me with Starck by referencing his book. I was extremely intrigued by him and looked at a portion of his books from the engineering library. My preferred one was the Philippe Starck Subeverchic Design since it was immediate in clarifying his items just as the philosophical focuses behind his plan. Mykayla had a few assessments and analysis herself about Starck in light of the fact that she is likewise an extremely huge fanatic of him too. â€Å"Good Goods are significant in light of the fact that it is a solid proclamation of the fact that it is so essential to be purposeful with your plan decisions. Attempting to satisfy everybody finishes in a frail plan. Be that as it may, being explicit gives route for a more extravagant structure. With Good Goods, Starck clarified that he needed a superior world for his child. He needed to start preparing for others to follow his lead to guarantee that his child would live in a solid world. Likewise, Starck states that the Eames motivate him. The Eames are known for having great quality and tough items. Since these are the things he puts stock in and finds significant, he shows it in his plans (Good Goods being a result of that). † (Fernandes,2012). I think Starck’s methods of reasoning are exceptionally effective in his structures. He has accomplished everything that he needed in his structures. His items don't just fulfill his craving and what sort of message he needed to depict, yet he sees the satisfaction that his customers feel in the wake of utilizing his items and that’s what makes his an effective fashioner.

How to Write an Introduction For an Argumentative Essay

How to Write an Introduction For an Argumentative EssayWriting an introduction for an argumentative essay is important. Not only does it set the tone of the rest of the essay, but it also sets the tone for the entire paper. An introductory paragraph introduces the author and provides an introduction to the argument. It helps to establish the topic, establishes who the author is, and sets the tone for the argument.When writing an introduction for an argumentative essay, the first step is to write a brief description of the argument that the paper will address. This is a brief paragraph, and it does not need to be lengthy. Rather, it should be concise enough to provide the reader with enough information for him or her to understand the argument. Try to make your introduction as short as possible.The next step is to write the introduction for the argumentative essay. Do not go into an explanation of the idea. You can start by describing the writer's role in the essay. Next, you can talk about the objective of the argument.Finally, present the argument and the conclusion. Do not begin a lengthy discussion of the reasons why the author believes the argument is correct. Use your imagination and creativity in this section. Don't write a paragraph of background and then a paragraph of exposition.Using the introduction to this type of essay, the author gets the student's attention. The introduction also shows the writer to be objective and non-biased. This serves as a positive beginning to the whole essay.An introduction for an argumentative essay can be used as a stand alone essay. It can be used as the introduction to a thesis statement. It can be used to introduce the argument to the reader or can be used as a preparation for the argument to be presented at a later time.When writing an introduction for an argumentative essay, the author must be careful not to write too much. The introduction should set the tone for the entire essay. Write about the importance of the essay and it's purpose. Finally, provide a positive idea to the reader of how the argument supports his or her beliefs.Not only is the introduction to an argumentative essay essential to a well-written essay, but the author has a lot of work ahead of him or her in the essay. To give a student a good introduction to the essay, the author must use his or her imagination to create a good introduction. Don't make this difficult on yourself, and take some time to write a quality introduction.

Tips For Writing A College Essay On Religion

<h1>Tips For Writing A College Essay On Religion</h1><p>Many secondary school understudies battle with composing a school article about religion. The issue is that numerous understudies imagine that the best way to be fruitful with this subject is to compose as though they are composing a sentiment piece. Actually, a school exposition about religion has a considerable amount more structure and essentialness than a conclusion piece, so understudies need to figure out how to compose a school paper on religion.</p><p></p><p>A school article on religion will frequently incorporate data about the understudy's strict or profound foundation. This is significant, in light of the fact that individuals from these foundations frequently tend to do less basic reasoning when they are contending a point. An understudy who experienced childhood in a fundamentalist religion may experience issues clarifying either part of their confidence. It is in this way s ignificant for understudies to give a short review of their strict or profound background.</p><p></p><p>Students ought to likewise talk about the historical backdrop of the religion they are expounding on. The most ideal approach to do this is to consider the historical backdrop of the religion cautiously. On the off chance that a religion was made because of a particular chronicled occasion, the understudy should discuss it in the article. This is on the grounds that one of the primary advantages of religion is that it gives a 'why' for getting things done. Understudies who are attempting to persuade their perusers of their focuses should ensure that the 'why' they give is applicable and accurate.</p><p></p><p>In expansion to talking about the historical backdrop of the religion, understudies ought to likewise make reference to what job religion has played in their lives. This is on the grounds that there is frequently a critical comp onent of enthusiastic connection between a religion and its adherents. A few people become profoundly connected to a religion since they have had individual encounters that firmly affected their strict convictions. What's more, a few religions give a feeling of network that numerous individuals find ailing in their day by day lives.</p><p></p><p>Students ought to likewise have the option to discuss the strict or otherworldly writing they read over the span of their school article. This is on the grounds that numerous books can assume a job in the improvement of one's confidence. It is additionally significant for understudies to make reference to what books they utilized, on the grounds that most understudies never find the opportunity to peruse each book they will ever experience. They may essentially have books like a manual for the universe of their religion, or a lot of strict stories that fill in as instances of scriptural stories.</p><p>< /p><p>Writing a school article on religion will require a couple of various strategies, however understudies can browse these methods relying upon the sort of paper they are composing. For instance, on the off chance that they are composing a paper about their religion's essential standards, they should utilize the three sorts of method plot above. Be that as it may, on the off chance that they are composing an article about their sentiments about religion, they should utilize other techniques.</p><p></p><p>Essay scholars for the most part have a great deal of work in front of them before they are done with their postulation or thesis. By figuring out how to compose a school exposition on religion, they can spare themselves a great deal of time and exertion. At the point when they know about these various kinds of article composing methods, they can make certain to compose the best expositions possible.</p><p></p><p>The most i deal approach to figure out how to compose a school paper on religion is to peruse advisers for these subjects and follow the counsel given to assist you with composing the most ideal exposition. At the point when an understudy acknowledges how much composing a school exposition is about, the person in question would then be able to rehearse their composing aptitudes. Since each understudy has various encounters and interests, this can likewise show understudies how to compose a school paper on any topic.</p>

College Students Essay Samples Secrets

<h1> College Students Essay Samples Secrets </h1> <h2> The College Students Essay Samples Cover Up</h2> <p>Superior arrangement is to cover article. Presently, on the off chance that you should create your own exposition, this doesn't suggest that you can compose everything which you need since this relies entirely upon your viewpoint. Stop endeavoring to form the perfect essay.</p> <p>It will work as an arrangement for your exposition. Exploration exposition models are a portion of the articles that you may unmistakably recognize the measure of chain of command of the subject. To do as such, you need to set your paper looking incredible so far. The Descriptive Essay on Michael Jordan is composed here looking like example for individuals who don't have any reasonable thought regarding approaches to start an exposition. </p> <p>With us, you will get phenomenal papers that are sure to present to you the absolute best results. Ideally, the conversations and the article models introduced above have edified you with the goal that you are currently ready to start making your own exposition. The following are increasingly nitty gritty inquiries to consider when reacting to singular sorts of expositions. When you've decided the point of your paper, you're recognize what data must be incorporated and the way that it must be introduced. </p> <h2> College Students Essay Samples for Dummies </h2> <p>Then you should distinguish small scale points and endeavor to head all of them. Understudies may obtain totally free access to these. </p> <p>There's likewise web based discovering that have been received by numerous understudies and schools, it's a convenient strategy for contemplating and subsequently it's been grasped by numerous understudies with inspirational demeanor. So as to develop a consistent chain, you are needing an arrangement of composing. You can put in a request in two or three minutes. Along these lines, purchasing papers online doesn't bring down the level of your preparation. </p> <p>Professor Mitchell acquired an award to have a classification of understudies to Belgium to have the option to examine the EU. Understanding your vocation destinations and alternatives (and their acquiring potential) will assist you with finding a school or profession school that fulfills your requirements. The absolute first and most significant thing an undergrad needs to do is so as to stir on schedule for a class, it's essential since you should be in a situation to keep up ith the work courses that are given to you by your Professor. The vocation topic is extremely plain as day. </p> <h2> Vital Pieces of College Students Essay Samples </h2> <p>Providentially, the endeavors to grasp the clarifications for the wholesome issue have been progressively beneficial. In certain occasions, a theme may as of now be advertised. You must compose specially crafted papers in the appropriate manner, since right sort of exploration will give you the absolute bes t results. Try not to leave yourself alone apprehensive if your conclusions are not equivalent to the others inasmuch as you create them obviously and use proof brilliantly. </p> <h2> Finding the Best College Students Essay Samples</h2> <p>Narrative composing has become the most straightforward kind of work. At the point when it has to do with giving unique and particular substance, trust our devoted and qualified scholars to do unequivocally that. An expressive presentation is among the general methods, and interfaces the subject of the work by methods for your background. The presentation and end shouldn't be over 25% of the entire work, the most significant part being 75% of the activity. </p> <h2> College Students Essay Samples - Dead or Alive?</h2> <p>Hence, it's appropriate you need to initially cause a layout on the key thoughts you to have as a main priority before experiencing the points of interest. Recorded as a hard copy yo ur diagram, the absolute first thing you should do is accumulate all the critical information you require for your subject. Because of the diagram, you will realize where you're going and what point that you're probably going to handle straightaway. You don't need to utilize formats. </p> <p>The principle point of the acquaintance is with carry the peruser to the significant part. It, when in doubt, plots the fundamental thought, establishes the pace for all work, and presents the extent of issues viable. You don't really see how you feel with respect to a specific subject or theme and you permit research and your own course to determine the framework. </p>

Writing Essays On General Topics

<h1>Writing Essays On General Topics</h1><p>Do you realize how to compose an article about general points? Is it accurate to say that you are sick of expounding on similar subjects in your papers? Perhaps you've quite recently completed an exposition that you were not content with. Regardless of what the reasons are, you have to figure out how to compose an article on general subjects so you can begin improving your abilities and getting your evaluations up.</p><p></p><p>General themes will assist you with thinking of thoughts for the paper point. It will likewise release you into the exposition somewhat more. You will find that the thought for the exposition is now in your mind, yet it's anything but difficult to stall out on a specific subject that you have no association with at all.</p><p></p><p>If you need to compose an article on a specific subject, there are a couple of tips you can use to ensure you don't get i mpeded. To begin with, you have to think about the paper as a diagram of the exposition point. Think about your point as something that is as of now been composed. So when you are considering how to compose an article on general points, consider what you definitely know or have pondered, and check whether there's a subject that you can add on to it.</p><p></p><p>One great tip for composing an exposition on general themes is to work out a framework. At the point when you realize what it is you're going to cover, you would then be able to make sense of how much time you need to compose the paper. In the event that you know your subject, you'll have the option to compose the theme rapidly and effectively. A couple of instances of subjects to consider include:</p><p></p><p>It's useful to utilize a layout when you're composing your paper. It makes it simpler to return and refile and develop thoughts that you may have gotten off-base. When y ou begin utilizing plots, it gets simpler to get and alter what you compose. You'll see that it gets simpler, and your understudies will see the difference.</p><p></p><p>As you can see, general points can truly make it simpler to begin on composing an exposition on general subjects. Rather than stalling out, you have a framework set up and can compose the exposition in a manner that doesn't drag. It's an incredible method to ensure that you don't get excessively profound into the article that you don't have a lot of left to say.</p><p></p><p>Once you have a general point to compose a paper on, it's anything but difficult to refine the theme later. Now and again the subtleties aren't exactly right, yet you can generally work from your layout. A portion of the rudiments are as of now there. You can expand on them later by doing some exploration, or perhaps you can make the subject somewhat more extensive and begin investigating different approaches to get your point across.</p><p></p><p>If you can perceive how broad themes can make things more obvious for you, you should consider utilizing this procedure in your own papers. Remember that you are progressing in the direction of the degree of authority that your teacher anticipates that you should reach. While you can attempt to compose an extraordinary exposition without a ton of work on, having a fundamental information on the subject will assist you with composing increasingly cleaned essays.</p>

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